Paris-Nice - Stage 8 | Nice - Nice

The final mountain stage of Paris-Nice promises a decisive and thrilling conclusion to the Race to the Sun. With a punishing mountain profile, this stage is tailor-made for the general classification battle, highlighted by the much-anticipated showdown between Juan Ayuso and Jonas Vingegaard.

Our model’s clear favourite, Juan Ayuso (Lidl - Trek), enters this stage with a strong 41.2% win probability, reflecting his excellent form and suitability for the mountainous terrain. He's been billed as the primary challenger to Vingegaard from the outset. Despite a lower probability here, Jonas Vingegaard (Team Visma | Lease a Bike) at 17.5% cannot be underestimated; his unparalleled climbing ability and experienced team make him a constant threat. Carlos Rodríguez (Ineos Grenadiers), with an 8.4% chance, is a potent third option, ready to capitalize on any strategic missteps.

Keep an eye on the Red Bull - BORA - hansgrohe duo of Daniel Felipe Martínez and Aleksandr Vlasov. Both are formidable climbers capable of launching well-timed attacks and could secure a podium spot or even a surprise win if the favourites mark each other too closely. While no significant injuries or key absences are reported among the top contenders, this demanding final stage will test the limits of every rider's resilience.