Paris-Nice - Stage 5 | Cormoranche-sur-Saône - Colombier-le-Vieux

Stage 5 of Paris-Nice presents the first significant mountain test, poised to ignite the battle for general classification. With an unforgiving profile, this stage is where the eagerly anticipated showdown between AYUSO Juan and VINGEGAARD Jonas is expected to truly begin, offering a decisive opportunity for the GC contenders to make their mark on the 'Race to the Sun'.

Our model pinpoints AYUSO Juan as the overwhelming favourite, reflecting widespread media sentiment billing him as a Tier 1 contender. His climbing prowess, combined with a strong Lidl-Trek outfit, positions him perfectly for this terrain. Hot on his heels is VINGEGAARD Jonas, whose proven pedigree in grand tours and mountain stages makes him a formidable challenger, ready to exploit any weakness. RODRÍGUEZ Carlos for Ineos Grenadiers rounds out the top three, a consistent climber capable of staying with the best on steep ascents.

Keep an eye on the Red Bull - BORA - hansgrohe duo of MARTÍNEZ Daniel Felipe and VLASOV Aleksandr. Their combined strength could offer a tactical advantage, potentially isolating the primary favourites or launching opportunistic attacks. While early stages saw sprinter action, this mountain day promises a dramatic shift in narrative, setting the tone for the latter half of Paris-Nice.