Tirreno-Adriatico - Stage 5 | Marotta-Mondolfo - Mombaroccio

Stage 5 of Tirreno-Adriatico promises a dynamic battle on a challenging hilly 184km course. This profile is tailor-made for the powerful all-rounders and Classics specialists, offering ample opportunity for aggressive racing, late attacks, or a reduced bunch sprint from a select group. The key narrative will be how the undulating terrain splits the peloton and which of the strong engines can sustain their efforts to the line.

The model places Primož Roglič as the leading favourite, despite his recent comments downplaying his own form and emphasizing keeping pace with younger riders. His proven ability on such terrain makes him a perennial threat. However, he faces stiff competition from two other titans perfectly suited to a demanding, undulating day where raw power and tactical acumen are paramount: Mathieu Van Der Poel and Wout Van Aert. Filippo Ganna, with his immense engine, is also a strong contender, capable of bridging gaps and holding high speeds if he can survive the key climbs.

Team strategy will be crucial, particularly for Visma | Lease a Bike, who possess two strong cards in Wout Van Aert and Matteo Jorgenson. The latter, a powerful all-rounder with strong recent form, could be a dark horse for a surprise victory or a vital tactical asset if the race explodes earlier. The recent news regarding Roglič's self-assessment adds an interesting layer; will he surprise himself, or will the "young guys" indeed set the definitive pace?